Equilest

JANUARY 7, 2025

By identifying earnings manipulation and guaranteeing more accurate firm values, this clever little technology is here to save the day. A high M-Score could indicate higher risk, warranting a higher discount rate and thus a lower valuation. It's like adding a risk premium, but based on hard data rather than gut feeling.

Business Valuation 40

Business Valuation Risk Premium Finance Start-ups 40

Musings on Markets

MARCH 19, 2022

The overriding message in all of this data is that Russia/Ukraine war has unleashed fears in the bond market, and once unleashed that fear has pushed up worries about default and default risk premia across the board.

Start-ups 100

Start-ups Risk Premium Equity Market Capitalization 100

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 6, 2023

When valuing or analyzing a company, I find myself looking for and using macro data (risk premiums, default spreads, tax rates) and industry-level data on profitability, risk and leverage. I do report on a few market-wide data items especially on risk premiums for both equity and debt. Debt breakdown 2.

Risk Premium 52

Risk Premium Dividends Start-ups EBITDA 52

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 9, 2021

By focusing so much attention on a small subset of companies, you risk developing tunnel vision, especially when doing peer group comparisons. In the same dataset where I compute historical equity risk premiums, I report historical returns on corporate bonds in two ratings classes (Moody’s Aaa and Baa ratings).

Risk Premium 52

Risk Premium Market Capitalization Equity Start-ups 52

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 26, 2023

Having watched Tesla reinvest and grow over the last few years, it is clear to me that the company's been able to generate its growth with far less money invested in plant and more in technology and R&D than a typical auto company. The Market : The US equity market in January 2023 looks very different from the market at the start of 2022.

Start-ups 98

Start-ups Marketability Risk Premium Equity 98

Musings on Markets

NOVEMBER 9, 2021

I would be lying if I said that I have had clarity about Tesla's story over the last decade, because it has so many tangents, distractions and shifts along the way, flirting with narratives about being a battery company, an energy company and a technology company. for mature markets.

Start-ups 101

Start-ups Dividends Marketability Market Capitalization 101

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 31, 2024

In my last three posts, I looked at the macro (equity risk premiums, default spreads, risk free rates) and micro (company risk measures) that feed into the expected returns we demand on investments, and argued that these expected returns become hurdle rates for businesses, in the form of costs of equity and capital.

Equity 80

Equity Book Value Start-ups Corporate Finance 80

Appraisal Rights

JUNE 5, 2017

The various problems facing the company led the court to embrace the respondents’ theory that SWS would continue to face an uphill climb given its relatively small size, which prevented it from scaling its substantial regulatory, technological, and back-office costs. Hilltop’s Influence on the Sale Process Rendered Merger Price Unreliable.

Beta 40

Beta Risk Premium Capital Structure Discounted Cash Flow 40

Musings on Markets

FEBRUARY 15, 2023

Some of that variation can be attributed to different mixes of businesses in different regions, since unit economics will result in higher gross margins for technology companies and commodity companies, in years when commodity prices are high, and lower gross margins for heavy manufacturing and retail businesses.

Start-ups 52

Start-ups Equity Risk Premium Risk-free Rate 52

Musings on Markets

MAY 24, 2021

There are a few arguing that the shift to a technology-based economy has removed inflationary pressures permanently, pointing to the last decade where inflation fears never came to fruition. Consequently, as inflation increases, equity risk premiums will tend to increase.

Treasury 55

Treasury Start-ups Risk Premium Price to Book 55

Equilest

JUNE 10, 2023

Changes in tax regulations, technology advancements, and shifts in customer preferences can impact the future prospects and growth potential of the business. Technology and Infrastructure In today's digital age, the technology and infrastructure employed by a tax preparation business can greatly influence its value.

Business Valuation 40

Business Valuation Fair Market Value Marketability Technology 40

Musings on Markets

MARCH 25, 2021

For much of the last year, I tracked the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ, the first standing in for large cap stocks and the broader market, and the latter proxying for technology and growth stocks, with some very large market companies included in the mix. Risk premiums No effect or even a decrease. Riskfree rate will rise.

Equity 52

Equity Risk-free Rate Treasury Start-ups 52

Equilest

JUNE 13, 2023

Equipment, Technology, and Infrastructure The quality and condition of equipment, technology, and infrastructure directly influence the value of a disaster restoration business. Stay updated on the latest advancements, changes in regulations, and emerging technologies that can impact the business's value.

Business Valuation 40

Business Valuation Asset-based Approach Appraisal Intangible Assets 40

Appraiser Newsroom

JUNE 4, 2024

Kevin holds an MBA in finance from Georgia State University and a Bachelors in Chemical Engineering from the Georgia Institute of Technology. Amanda holds a PhD, dual master’s degrees from Stanford University and dual bachelor’s degrees from the California Institute of Technology.

Business Valuation 59

Business Valuation Intangible Assets Appraisal Finance 59

Musings on Markets

FEBRUARY 27, 2023

An Optimizing Tool In my second and third data posts for this year, I chronicled the effects of rising interest rates and risk premiums on costs of equity and capital. at least with technology companies). Me-to-ism : The second and almost as powerful a force in determining debt policy is peer group behavior.

Equity 52

Equity EBITDA Start-ups Net Debt 52

Musings on Markets

JULY 22, 2021

It would be churlish on my part to take issue with the bloat and selective disclosure in Zomato's prospectus, since they are following the script that other technology companies around the world have written for going public, but it is frustrating to read through 420 pages, and still be left in the dark on key numbers.

Marketability 99

Marketability Start-ups Equity Price to Book 99

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 12, 2021

The last decade, with it influx of user based companies and technology platforms forced me to think seriously about how to value a user, subscriber or rider and extrapolate from there to company value. Discount rates in intrinsic valaution have to change to reflect current market conditions, and can be expected to change over time.

Corporate Finance 52

Corporate Finance Start-ups Finance Marketability 52

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 27, 2021

In my last post , I described the wild ride that the price of risk took in 2020, with equity risk premiums and default spreads initially sky rocketing, as the virus led to global economic shutdowns, and then just as abruptly dropping back to pre-crisis levels over the course of the year.

Start-ups 52

Start-ups Marketability Equity Treasury 52

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 28, 2024

I use the data through the end of 2023 to compute all three measures for every company, and in my first breakdown, I look at these risk measures, by sector (globally): Utilities are the safest or close to the safest , on all three price-based measures, but there are divergences on the other risk measures.

Risk Premium 117

Risk Premium Beta Start-ups Equity 117

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 10, 2025

Thus, as you peruse my historical data on implied equity risk premiums or PE ratios for the S&P 500 over time, you may be tempted to compute averages and use them in your investment strategies, or use my industry averages for debt ratios and pricing multiples as the target for every company in the peer group, but you should hold back.

Risk Premium 115

Risk Premium Dividends Start-ups Corporate Finance 115

Musings on Markets

FEBRUARY 8, 2025

In the first five posts, I have looked at the macro numbers that drive global markets, from interest rates to risk premiums, but it is not my preferred habitat. The second set of inputs are prices of risk, in both the equity and debt markets, with the former measured by equity risk premiums , and the latter by default spreads.

Risk Premium 72

Risk Premium Beta Start-ups Equity 72

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 31, 2025

The AI story, before DeepSeek The AI story has been building for a while, reflecting the convergence of two forces in technology - more computing power, often in smaller and smaller packages, and the accumulation of data, on technology platforms and elsewhere. What is it that makes the DeepSeek story so compelling?

Start-ups 131

Start-ups Marketability Technology Risk Premium 131

Musings on Markets

FEBRUARY 18, 2025

Carrying this through to the real world, you should not be surprised to see technology and pharmaceutical companies, the two biggest spenders on R&D, report much higher accounting returns than they are actually earning on their investments.

Equity 52

Equity Book Value Marketability Start-ups 52

Musings on Markets

FEBRUARY 23, 2025

Breaking down the remaining sectors, real estate and utilities are the heaviest users of debt, and technology and health care the lightest. Reda estate and utilities continue to look highly levered, and technology carries the least debt burden.

Equity 75

Equity EBITDA Risk Premium Gross Debt 75

Musings on Markets

MARCH 15, 2025

Thus, my estimates of equity risk premiums, updated every month, are not designed to make big statements about markets but more to get inputs I need to value companies. That said, to value companies today, I have no choice but to bring in the economics and politics of the world that these companies inhabit.

Start-ups 128

Start-ups Risk Premium Marketability Equity 128