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The Price of Risk: With Equity Risk Premiums, Caveat Emptor!

Musings on Markets

If you have been reading my posts, you know that I have an obsession with equity risk premiums, which I believe lie at the center of almost every substantive debate in markets and investing. That said, I don't blame you, if are confused not only about how I estimate this premium, but what it measures.

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What Is Equity Risk Premium?

Andrew Stolz

Definition of Equity Risk Premium. It is the difference between expected returns from the stock market and the expected returns from risk-free investments. What Impacts the Equity Risk Premium? How Do You Calculate Equity Risk Premium? Why is the Equity Risk Premium Important?

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Risk Premiums: A Look at CSRP

BVR

Company-specific risk is not an ideal name for this risk. All firms face company-specific risks, many of which are somewhat similar across industries and companies. For example, how many firms have you valued that had to deal with the risk of customer concentration? Is anything “company-specific” per se?

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Understanding the Company-Specific Risk Premium: A Guide for Attorneys

Gross Mendelsohn

Understanding risk factors is essential in determining how a business will be valued. Let’s consider what your business-owning clients need to know about company-specific risks and how they come into play when it’s time for a business valuation.

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Data Update 2 for 2023: A Rocky Year for Equities!

Musings on Markets

The premium that investors demand over and above the risk free rate is the equity risk premium , and practitioners in finance have wrestled with how best to estimate that number, since it is not easily observable (unlike the expected return on a bond which manifests as a current market interest rate).

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Data Update 2 for 2024: A Stock Comeback - Winning the Expectations Game!

Musings on Markets

To capture the market's mood, I back out the expected return (and equity risk premium) that investors are pricing in, through an implied equity risk premium: Put simply, the expected return is an internal rate of return derived from the pricing of stocks, and the expected cash flows from holding them, and is akin to a yield to maturity on bonds.

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Data Update 2 for 2021: The Price of Risk!

Musings on Markets

Note that nothing that I have said so far is premised on modern portfolio theory, or any academic view of risk premiums. It is true that economists have researched risk aversion for centuries and concluded that investors are collectively risk averse, and that the level of risk aversion varies across age groups, income levels and time.