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The DDM is more grounded because it’s based on the company’s actual distributions and potential future value. And it values the company today based on the present value of its dividends and that potential future value (either the stock price or the Equity Value via the TerminalValue calculation).
Well, the short answer is after that forecast period where we estimate each year’s cash flows then discount them, we add a single number at the end to account for all the theoretical years in the future, called the TerminalValue (TV). Let’s pause here to acknowledge the big assumption that ‘interest rates will be 10% every year’.
The first of the is as companies scale up, there will be a point where they will hit a growth wall, and their growth will converge on the growth rate for the economy. Having watched ridesharing companies like Uber, Lyft and Didi struggle to make money in that business, I remain skeptical about this space being a gold mine for Tesla.
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