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Russia in Ukraine: Let Loose the Dogs of War!

Musings on Markets

The overriding message in all of this data is that Russia/Ukraine war has unleashed fears in the bond market, and once unleashed that fear has pushed up worries about default and default risk premia across the board.

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Data Update 6 for 2023: A Wake up call for the Indebted?

Musings on Markets

An Optimizing Tool In my second and third data posts for this year, I chronicled the effects of rising interest rates and risk premiums on costs of equity and capital. In computing the latter, I used the current debt ratios for firms, but made no attempt to evaluate whether these mixes were "right" or not.

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Buy the Dip: The Draw and Dangers of Contrarian Investing!

Musings on Markets

Instead, you will have to revalue the company, with adjustments to expected cash flows and risk premiums, given the crisis, and if that value exceeds the price, you should buy the stock. Contrarian Investing: The Psychological Tests! In the abstract, it is easy to understand the appeal of contrarian investing.

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Data Update 8 for 2025: Debt, Taxes and Default - An Unholy Trifecta!

Musings on Markets

We can start with dollar value debt, with two broad measures gross debt , representing all interest-bearing debt and lease debt, and net debt, which nets cash and marketable securities from gross debt.

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