Musings on Markets

JANUARY 19, 2022

In a post at the start of 2021 , I argued that while stocks entered the year at elevated levels, especially on historic metrics (such as PE ratios), they were priced to deliver reasonable returns, relative to very low risk free rates (with the treasury bond rate at 0.93% at the start of 2021). The year that was.

Risk Premium 98

Risk Premium Risk-free Rate Start-ups Equity 98

Reynolds Holding

APRIL 4, 2022

Today, you’ve invited me to talk about the roughly $2 trillion crypto markets. The dot-com bubble burst, though, created significant tremors in our markets. There’s no reason to treat the crypto market differently just because different technology is used. has the greatest capital markets because investors have faith in them.

Marketability 65

Marketability Banking Start-ups Compliance 65

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 21, 2023

It is the nature of stocks that you have good years and bad ones, and much as we like to forget about the latter during market booms, they recur at regular intervals, if for no other reason than to remind us that risk is not an abstraction, and that stocks don't always win, even in the long term.

Equity 93

Equity Risk Premium Start-ups Dividends 93

Musings on Markets

MAY 5, 2023

The overarching questions for us all are whether this crisis will spread to the rest of the economy and market, as it did in 2008, and how banking as a business, at least in the US, will be reshaped by this crisis, and while I am more a dabbler than an expert in banking, I am going to try answering those questions.

Banking 97

Banking Equity Start-ups Treasury 97

Reynolds Holding

OCTOBER 21, 2024

What GameStop put on display was how much has changed—in technology and business models—since 2005 when we last comprehensively updated our equity market rules. The markets have moved to overwhelmingly trade electronically, with transaction volume in listed equities tripling in the last 17 years. [3] 6] The $55 trillion U.S.

Equity 45

Equity Marketability Start-ups Treasury 45

Musings on Markets

MARCH 25, 2021

The first quarter of 2021 has been, for the most part, a good time for equity markets, but there have been surprises. The first has been the steep rise in treasury rates in the last twelve weeks, as investors reassess expected economic growth over the rest of the year and worry about inflation.

Equity 52

Equity Risk-free Rate Treasury Start-ups 52

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 9, 2021

I spent the first week of 2021 in the same way that I have spent the first week of every year since 1995, collecting data on publicly traded companies and analyzing how they navigated the cross currents of the prior year, both in operating and market value terms.

Risk Premium 52

Risk Premium Market Capitalization Equity Start-ups 52

Benzinga

MARCH 16, 2023

Under the terms of the Agreement, Trillium and Pacton will merge on an at-market basis, with each common shareholder of Pacton (each, a "Pacton Shareholder") entitled to receive 1.275 common shares of Trillium (each whole such common share, a "Trillium Share") in exchange for each Pacton common share held (each, a "Pacton Share").

Treasury 40

Treasury Market Capitalization Marketability 40

Reynolds Holding

NOVEMBER 28, 2022

On November 17, 2022, the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (“FINRA”) issued a special alert to FINRA members concerning the heightened threat of fraud in small capitalization initial public offerings (“IPOs”). Treasury Department’s Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (“FinCEN”); and. broker-dealers to the U.S.

Compliance 45

Compliance Marketability Banking Treasury 45

Musings on Markets

DECEMBER 2, 2020

In this post, I will argue that there are good reasons for Airbnb's IPO timing, and make my first attempt at valuing this latest entrant into public markets. By the start of 2020, Airbnb had already become one of the largest players in its market of vacation and travel rentals, a sign of success, but also a crimp on future growth.

Start-ups 52

Start-ups Marketability Equity Market Capitalization 52

Global Finance

MAY 8, 2024

The Citigroup acquisition bore immediate fruit in the e-payments line, with 25% growth in customers in ASEAN, 26% growth in transaction value to S$129 billion and the capture of 40% market share in Malaysia via the DuitNow e-payment corridor and 60% in Thailand via PromptPay. CCB invested 4.9 increase in fee income.

Banking 52

Banking Dividends Start-ups Finance 52

Benzinga

NOVEMBER 13, 2023

I have no doubt that the union of Marathon's experienced team and well advanced Valentine Project based in Canada, with Calibre's production assets, robust treasury, free cash flow, flawless track record in execution and high impact exploration opportunities will unlock significant value for the shareholders of both companies.

Equity 40

Equity Treasury Market Capitalization Marketability 40

Reynolds Holding

SEPTEMBER 1, 2022

The a2 Milk shareholder class action alleges the Company with breaches of the Financial Markets Conduct Act 2013 and Fair Trading Act 1986. Treasury Wine Estates. Treasury Wine Estates is one of the world’s largest wine companies, listed on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX: TWE) and as an ADR in the US (OTC: TSRYY).

Treasury 45

Treasury Marketability Market Capitalization Compliance 45

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 17, 2025

In my last post , I noted that the US has extended its dominance of global equities in recent years, increasing its share of market capitalization from 42% in at the start of 2023 to 44% at the start of 2024 to 49% at the start of 2025.

Equity 126

Equity Risk Premium Treasury Start-ups 126

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 10, 2025

In corporate finance and investing, which are areas that I work in, I find myself doing double takes as I listen to politicians, market experts and economists making statements about company and market behavior that are fairy tales, and data is often my weapon for discerning the truth. Costs of equity & capital 4.

Risk Premium 115

Risk Premium Dividends Start-ups Corporate Finance 115

Musings on Markets

FEBRUARY 8, 2025

In the first five posts, I have looked at the macro numbers that drive global markets, from interest rates to risk premiums, but it is not my preferred habitat. The second set of inputs are prices of risk, in both the equity and debt markets, with the former measured by equity risk premiums , and the latter by default spreads.

Risk Premium 72

Risk Premium Beta Start-ups Equity 72

Reynolds Holding

JULY 25, 2023

Treasury Secretary Yellin has publicly signaled formal U.S. and the EU in the extent to which politically active citizens see a direction connection between stock market returns and their personal retirement security. The current schedule calls for a “final” rule by October 2023, and we can anticipate contentious litigation.

Equity 40

Equity Start-ups Marketability Systematic Risk 40

Musings on Markets

FEBRUARY 6, 2025

The Indian and Chinese markets cooled off in 2024, posting single digit gains in price appreciation. The Indian and Chinese markets cooled off in 2024, posting single digit gains in price appreciation. I converted all of the market capitalizations into US dollars , just to make them comparable.

Risk Premium 67

Risk Premium Start-ups Enterprise Value Equity 67

Musings on Markets

MARCH 15, 2025

Thus, my estimates of equity risk premiums, updated every month, are not designed to make big statements about markets but more to get inputs I need to value companies. Many of these hiring firms have supply chains that stretch across the world and sell their products and services in foreign markets.

Start-ups 128

Start-ups Risk Premium Marketability Equity 128

Reynolds Holding

FEBRUARY 24, 2025

It is not clear how market capitalization would be calculated in this contexte.g., This is relevant because leading crypto market structure bills would propose to classify many digital assets as digital commodities that are subject to CFTC, rather than SEC, jurisdiction. Transition provisions. International reciprocity.

Banking 45

Banking Treasury Market Capitalization Marketability 45