Musings on Markets

JULY 17, 2023

I am not a market prognosticator for a simple reason. I am just not good at it, and the first six months of 2023 illustrate why market timing is often the impossible dream, something that every investor aspires to be successful at, but very few succeed on a consistent basis.

Marketability 98

Marketability Risk Premium Start-ups Treasury 98

Musings on Markets

MAY 20, 2022

Historical Data: 1930-2019 To see how this framework works in practice, let's start by looking at the performance of US stocks, across the decades, and look at the returns on stocks, broadly categorized based on market capitalization and price to book ratios.

Price to Book 102

Price to Book Dividends Beta Equity 102

Musings on Markets

MAY 7, 2023

While differentiating between good and bad banks can be straightforward, it does not follow that buying good banks and selling bad banks is a good investment strategy, since its success depends entirely on what the market is incorporating into stock prices.

Banking 92

Banking Price to Book Dividends Book Value 92

Musings on Markets

MARCH 19, 2022

As the world's attention is focused on the war in the Ukraine, it is the human toll, in death and injury, that should get our immediate attention, and you may find a focus on economics and markets to be callous. The increase in default spreads was not restricted to foreign markets, as fear also pushed up spreads in the corporate bond market.

Start-ups 100

Start-ups Risk Premium Equity Market Capitalization 100

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 27, 2022

By the end of 2021, it was clear that this bout of inflation was not as transient a phenomenon as some had made it out to be, and the big question leading in 2022, for investors and markets, is how inflation will play out during the year, and beyond, and the consequences for stocks, bonds and currencies.

Risk-free Rate 99

Risk-free Rate Treasury Price to Book Start-ups 99

RNC

JULY 2, 2024

Business valuation methods can vary, but they often include assessing the startup’s financial health, projected growth, market potential, and competitive landscape. Asset-Based Valuation Asset-based valuation values a company based on the market worth of its assets minus liabilities. How Business Valuation is Determined?

Business Valuation 52

Business Valuation Dividends Discounted Cash Flow Price to Earnings 52

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 19, 2022

In this post, I will begin with a historical assessment of stock returns in the recent past, then move on to evaluate the returns that investors can expect to make, given how they are priced at the start of 2022, and end with a do-it-yourself valuation of the index right now. The year that was.

Risk Premium 99

Risk Premium Risk-free Rate Start-ups Equity 99