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Inflation and Value When in doubt about how any action or information plays out in value, I find it useful to go back to value basics, and trace out the effects of that action/information on value drivers. The former is short hand for the small cap premium and the latter is the proxy for the value factor in returns.
Since I am lucky enough to have access to databases that carry data on all publicly traded stocks, I choose all publicly traded companies, with a market price that exceeds zero, as my universe, for computing all statistics. Costs of equity & capital 1. Standard Deviation in Equity/FirmValue 2. Book Value Multiples 3.
We find that institutional investors act as if spending $10,000 on engagement increases a companys value by 0.3 While that may sound small, when scaled by trillions of dollars in marketcapitalization and assets under management, the potential benefits are significant. basis point expected increase in firmvalue.
This is direct evidence that the announcement causes expectations of firmvalue to be biased upward. The subsamples with higher announcement returns, which reflect greater market expectations, experience negative future returns.
The Big Three hold just over 20 percent of total marketcapitalization in the U.S. Interestingly, they hold at least 5 percent in 16 foreign markets, including Germany, France, Japan, and Brazil, and over 10 percent in three foreign markets: Ireland (19 percent), the UK (16.4 trillion and $4.3 trillion, respectively.
Data universe : In my sample, I include all publicly traded firms with marketcapitalizations that exceed zero, traded anywhere in the world. Cost of Capital 3. Standard deviations in equity and firmvalue 4. Debt ratios (Debt to capital, Debt to EBITDA) 1. Cost of Debt 2. Price to Book 3.
Not surprisingly, the company listings are across the world, and I look at the breakdown of companies, by number and market cap, by geography: As you can see, the market cap of US companies at the start of 2025 accounted for roughly 49% of the market cap of global stocks, up from 44% at the start of 2024 and 42% at the start of 2023.
It is for this reason that I chose to compute returns differently, using the following constructs: I included all publicly traded stocks in each market, or at least those with a marketcapitalization available for them. I converted all of the marketcapitalizations into US dollars , just to make them comparable.
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