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Data Update 2 for 2023: A Rocky Year for Equities!

Musings on Markets

It is the nature of stocks that you have good years and bad ones, and much as we like to forget about the latter during market booms, they recur at regular intervals, if for no other reason than to remind us that risk is not an abstraction, and that stocks don't always win, even in the long term. at the start of that year.

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Data Update 4 for 2022: Risk = Danger + Opportunity!

Musings on Markets

Relative Risk Measures Before we embark on how to measure relative risk, where there can be substantial disagreement, let me start with a statement on which there should be agreement. By the same token, Embraer and TCS are global firms that happen to be incorporated in Brazil and India, respectively.

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In Search of Safe Havens: The Trust Deficit and Risk-free Investments!

Musings on Markets

Expected returns for Risky Investments : The risk-free rate becomes the base on which you build to estimate expected returns on all other investments. For instance, if you read my last post on equity risk premiums , I described the equity risk premium as the additional return you would demand, over and above the risk free rate.

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Russia in Ukraine: Let Loose the Dogs of War!

Musings on Markets

The overriding message in all of this data is that Russia/Ukraine war has unleashed fears in the bond market, and once unleashed that fear has pushed up worries about default and default risk premia across the board. to 25% for the Eurozone.

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Use of Discounted Cash Flow Approaches in US GAAP Accounting

ThomsonReuters

The adjustment added to the risk-free rate to arrive at the risk-adjusted rate is often referred to as the “risk premium.” The risk premium reflects that market participants require compensation for taking on uncertainty. The risk premium may incorporate factors such as credit risk or market illiquidity.

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Catastrophic Risk: Investing and Business Implications

Musings on Markets

These are three very different stories, but what they share in common is a fear, imminent or expected, of a catastrophic event that may put a company's business at risk. Deconstructing Risk While we may use statistical measures like volatility or correlation to measure risk in practice, risk is not a statistical abstraction.

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Data Update 3 for 2023: Inflation and Interest Rates

Musings on Markets

Just as rising equity risk premiums push up the cost of equity, rising default spreads push up the cost of debt of companies, with the added complication of higher default risk for those companies that had pushed to the limits of their borrowing capacity in a low interest-rate environment.