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Data Update 2 for 2023: A Rocky Year for Equities!

Musings on Markets

While there are many events during 2022, some political and some economic, that one can point to as the reason for poor stock returns, it is undeniable that inflation was the driving force behind the market correction. In this section, I will begin with a deconstruction of stock returns in 2022 and the year's place in stock market history.

Equity 96
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Market Resilience or Investors In Denial? A Mid-year Assessment for 2023!

Musings on Markets

While this may seem perverse, the first step in understanding and assessing where we are in markets now is to go back and examine where things stood then. In my third post at the start of 2023, I looked at US treasuries, the long-touted haven of safety for investors. trillion below their values from the start of 2022.

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Data Update 3: Inflation and its Ripple Effects!

Musings on Markets

Put simply, no central bank, no matter how powerful, can force market interest rates down, if inflation expectations stay low, or up, if investor are anticipating high inflation. Note that the decrease in default spreads, at least for the lower ratings, mirrors the drop in the implied equity risk premium during the course of 2021.

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Data Update 2 for 2024: A Stock Comeback - Winning the Expectations Game!

Musings on Markets

Heading into 2023, US equities looked like they were heading into a sea of troubles, with inflation out of control and a recession on the horizon. Energy, one of the few survivors of the 2022 market sell-off, had a bad year, as did utilities and consumer staples. increase in market capitalization.

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A Follow up on Inflation: The Disparate Effects on Company Values!

Musings on Markets

In my last post , I discussed how inflation's return has changed the calculus for investors, looking at how inflation affects returns on different asset classes, and tracing out the consequences for equity values, in the aggregate.

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Breach of Trust: Decoding the Banking Crisis

Musings on Markets

The overarching questions for us all are whether this crisis will spread to the rest of the economy and market, as it did in 2008, and how banking as a business, at least in the US, will be reshaped by this crisis, and while I am more a dabbler than an expert in banking, I am going to try answering those questions.

Banking 98
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How SPACs Disable Indirect Investor Protection

Reynolds Holding

In standard public equity securities, even the most naïve investor is protected, first, by the market price – you pay only for what you get – and, second, by the comfort that nothing else is required of an individual investor to realize the full value of the security. securities markets – not SPACs.