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Data Update 2 for 2023: A Rocky Year for Equities!

Musings on Markets

While there are many events during 2022, some political and some economic, that one can point to as the reason for poor stock returns, it is undeniable that inflation was the driving force behind the market correction. In this section, I will begin with a deconstruction of stock returns in 2022 and the year's place in stock market history.

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Data Update 2 for 2024: A Stock Comeback - Winning the Expectations Game!

Musings on Markets

Heading into 2023, US equities looked like they were heading into a sea of troubles, with inflation out of control and a recession on the horizon. Energy, one of the few survivors of the 2022 market sell-off, had a bad year, as did utilities and consumer staples. increase in market capitalization.

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Market Resilience or Investors In Denial? A Mid-year Assessment for 2023!

Musings on Markets

While this may seem perverse, the first step in understanding and assessing where we are in markets now is to go back and examine where things stood then. trillion in market value in the first six months in the year , but the severity of last year's decline has still left them $14.4 US Equities in 2023: Into the Weeds!

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Russia in Ukraine: Let Loose the Dogs of War!

Musings on Markets

The Market Reaction As the rhetoric of war has heated up in the last few months, markets were wary about the possibility of war, but as Russian troops have advanced into the Ukraine, that wariness has turned to sell off across markets. As Russian equities have imploded, the ripple effects again are being felt across the globe.

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Interest Rates, Earning Growth and Equity Value: Investment Implications

Musings on Markets

The first quarter of 2021 has been, for the most part, a good time for equity markets, but there have been surprises. The arrival of the COVID in February 2020, and the ensuing market meltdown, causing treasury rates to plummet across the spectrum, with three-month T.bill rates dropping from 1.5% Riskfree rate will rise.

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Tesla's Trillion Dollar Moment: A Valuation Revisit!

Musings on Markets

The graph below contains Tesla's stock price, adjusted for stock splits, going back to 2010, and ending in November 2021: While the graph illustrates the surge in the stock price, the table embedded in the graph conveys the rise more vividly, by listing Tesla's market capitalization in millions of dollars. for mature markets.

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Catastrophic Risk: Investing and Business Implications

Musings on Markets

Minuses : As in the last approach, you still have to estimate a probability that a catastrophe will occur, and in addition, and there can be challenges in estimating the value of a business, if the company fails in the face of catastrophic risk. 4 & 5 Uninsurable Risk. Note that these higher discount rates apply in both scenarios.