Equilest

MARCH 17, 2022

We note that the higher the expected rate (in other words, the greater the risk is perceived as necessary, to the point of requiring a substantial "risk premium"), the lower the multiple that will apply and therefore the lower valuation: we buy cheaper which is less safe. EBITDA and EBIT). 11% per year. 10% per year.

Business Valuation 40

Business Valuation EBIT Discounted Cash Flow EBITDA 40

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 31, 2024

In my last three posts, I looked at the macro (equity risk premiums, default spreads, risk free rates) and micro (company risk measures) that feed into the expected returns we demand on investments, and argued that these expected returns become hurdle rates for businesses, in the form of costs of equity and capital.

Equity 80

Equity Book Value Start-ups Corporate Finance 80

Musings on Markets

FEBRUARY 15, 2023

One is to compute the taxes you would have paid on operating income, if it had been fully taxable, to get after-tax operating income and margin , and the other is to add back depreciation to operating income to get EBITDA and EBITDA margin.

Start-ups 52

Start-ups Equity Risk Premium Risk-free Rate 52

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 26, 2023

Tesla's rise is summarized in the graph below, where we look at the company's revenues and earnings over time, with earnings measured in gross and operating terms, and EBITDA capturing operating cash flows: 2022 numbers updated to reflect 4th quarter earnings call on 1/25/23 Between 2010 and 2020, Tesla grew revenues from $117 million to $31.5

Start-ups 98

Start-ups Marketability Risk Premium Equity 98

Valutico

OCTOBER 20, 2022

Practitioners assume the business is sold as a multiple of some financial metric like EBITDA, based on what they can see today for other businesses that were sold, and what these comparable trading multiples are. . Rf = Risk-free Rate. Rm – Rf) = Equity Market Risk Premium. Cp = Cost of Equity Premium.

Discounted Cash Flow 52

Discounted Cash Flow Terminal Value Weighted Average Cost of Capital Net Present Value 52

Brian DeChesare

MAY 3, 2023

In our forecast, Cash rises too much, and Debt / EBITDA goes from 5.0x Dividend Discount Model, Part 4: Present Value of Terminal Value and Dividends Since the Dividend Discount Model is based on Equity Value, not Enterprise Value, the Discount Rate is the Cost of Equity: Risk-Free Rate + Equity Risk Premium * Levered Beta.

Dividends 64

Dividends Terminal Value Enterprise Value Equity 64

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 28, 2024

In the last table, I look at the intrinsic risk measures, broken down by company age: Not surprisingly, there are more money losing young companies than older ones, and these young companies also have more volatile earnings.

Risk Premium 117

Risk Premium Beta Start-ups Equity 117

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 10, 2025

Thus, as you peruse my historical data on implied equity risk premiums or PE ratios for the S&P 500 over time, you may be tempted to compute averages and use them in your investment strategies, or use my industry averages for debt ratios and pricing multiples as the target for every company in the peer group, but you should hold back.

Risk Premium 115

Risk Premium Dividends Start-ups Corporate Finance 115

Musings on Markets

JULY 24, 2024

After the 2008 market crisis, I resolved that I would be far more organized in my assessments and updating of equity risk premiums, in the United States and abroad, as I looked at the damage that can be inflicted on intrinsic value by significant shifts in risk premiums, i.e., my definition of a crisis.

Risk Premium 75

Risk Premium Equity Start-ups EBITDA 75

Musings on Markets

FEBRUARY 23, 2025

Debt to EBITDA : Since debt payments are contractually set, looking at how much debt is due relative to measure of operating cash flow making sense, and that ratio of debt to EBITDA provides a measure of that capacity, with higher (lower) numbers indicating more (less) financial strain from debt.

Equity 75

Equity EBITDA Risk Premium Gross Debt 75

Musings on Markets

FEBRUARY 6, 2025

The logical step in looking across countries is measuring risk in countries, and bringing that risk into your analysis, by incorporating that risk by demanding higher expected returns in riskier countries. The answers, to you, may seem obvious, but I find it useful to organize the obvious into buckets for analysis.

Risk Premium 67

Risk Premium Start-ups Enterprise Value Equity 67

Global Finance

OCTOBER 29, 2024

In the second quarter, growth in Ebitda [earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization] outpaced interest expense growth for high-yield corporates. There are certain sectors that we think are offering better risk/reward. GF: Do you foresee a soft landing? Robson: We are expecting a soft landing.

Start-ups 98

Start-ups Finance Equity Private Equity Firm 98