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Good (Bad) Banks and Good (Bad) Investments: At the right price.

Musings on Markets

Consequently, you can only value the equity in a bank, and by extension, the only pricing multiples you can use to price banks are equity multiples (PE, Price to Book etc.). The Pricing of Bank Equity You have heard me say this before, but I don't think there is any harm in repeating this.

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Data Update 3: Inflation and its Ripple Effects!

Musings on Markets

Measuring inflation is not as simple as it looks, and measures of inflation can vary depending on the basket of good/services used, the perspective adopted (consumer, producer, GDP deflator) and the sampling used to collect prices.

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Data Update 2 for 2022: US Stocks kept winning in 2021, but…

Musings on Markets

When you augment this price change with the dividends on the index during 2021, the total return on the S&P 500 for 2021 was 28.47%. The results are similar if you break stocks down based upon price to book ratios or revenue growth rates. Download past implied ERP That said, there are two reasons for concern.

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Market Resilience or Investors In Denial? A Mid-year Assessment for 2023!

Musings on Markets

In the table below, I list the ten worst performing and best performing industry groups, based purely on market capitalization change in the first half of 2023: Download market performance in 2023, by industry The worst performing industry groups are in financial services and energy, with oilfield services companies being the worst impacted.

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Is Hyundai’s Parallel Strategy a Potent Value Play?

Andrew Stolz

Download the full report as a PDF. Price signal unclear, but volume supports bullish signal. Book value is the value attributable to shareholders in case the company sells all its assets and repays its liabilities (also called liquidation value). Download the full report as a PDF. Low PB multiple of 0.8x

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Interest Rates, Earning Growth and Equity Value: Investment Implications

Musings on Markets

Interest Rates and Value As interest rates have risen, the discussion in markets has turned ito the effects that these rates will have on stock prices. Download data While the chart itself has too much noise to draw conclusions, the correlations that I have calculated provide more information.

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Russia in Ukraine: Let Loose the Dogs of War!

Musings on Markets

Slicing the data based on sector yields the following: Against, there are no surprises, with energy being the only sector to post positive returns and with consumer discretionary and technology generating the most negative returns.

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