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Data Update 3: Inflation and its Ripple Effects!

Musings on Markets

Measuring inflation is not as simple as it looks, and measures of inflation can vary depending on the basket of good/services used, the perspective adopted (consumer, producer, GDP deflator) and the sampling used to collect prices.

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Market Resilience or Investors In Denial? A Mid-year Assessment for 2023!

Musings on Markets

To the extent that some of that risk capital is coming back into the markets, equity markets have benefited, with benefits skewing more towards the companies and markets that were punished the most in 2022. trillion) to market capitalizations, regaining almost half of the value lost in last year's rout.

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Data Update 1 for 2021: A (Data) Look Back at a Most Forgettable Year (2020)!

Musings on Markets

Consider, for instance, an investor who picks stocks based upon price to book ratios, who finds a stock trading at a price to book ratio of 1.5. While some of the companies in this data trace their existence back decades, there is a healthy proportion of younger companies, many in emerging markets and new industries.

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Good (Bad) Banks and Good (Bad) Investments: At the right price.

Musings on Markets

Consequently, you can only value the equity in a bank, and by extension, the only pricing multiples you can use to price banks are equity multiples (PE, Price to Book etc.). The Pricing of Bank Equity You have heard me say this before, but I don't think there is any harm in repeating this.

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Data Update 2 for 2022: US Stocks kept winning in 2021, but…

Musings on Markets

When you augment this price change with the dividends on the index during 2021, the total return on the S&P 500 for 2021 was 28.47%. The results are similar if you break stocks down based upon price to book ratios or revenue growth rates.

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Russia in Ukraine: Let Loose the Dogs of War!

Musings on Markets

The table below summarizes the market cap change, by region of the world: It is no surprise that Eastern Europe and Russia, which are in the eye of the hurricane, have seen the most damage to equities, but other than the Middle East, every other equity market in the world is down, with the US, EU and China shedding significant market capitalization.

Start-ups 100
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Interest Rates, Earning Growth and Equity Value: Investment Implications

Musings on Markets

Interest Rates and Value As interest rates have risen, the discussion in markets has turned ito the effects that these rates will have on stock prices. Download data While the chart itself has too much noise to draw conclusions, the correlations that I have calculated provide more information.

Equity 52