Remove Dividends Remove Risk Premium Remove Risk-free Rate
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The Price of Risk: With Equity Risk Premiums, Caveat Emptor!

Musings on Markets

If you have been reading my posts, you know that I have an obsession with equity risk premiums, which I believe lie at the center of almost every substantive debate in markets and investing. That said, I don't blame you, if are confused not only about how I estimate this premium, but what it measures.

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What Is Equity Risk Premium?

Andrew Stolz

Definition of Equity Risk Premium. It is the difference between expected returns from the stock market and the expected returns from risk-free investments. What Impacts the Equity Risk Premium? Dividends . How Do You Calculate Equity Risk Premium? Dividend model ?

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The Dividend Discount Model (DDM): The Black Sheep of Valuation?

Brian DeChesare

When I started offering financial modeling training , I never expected to get questions about a methodology like the Dividend Discount Model (DDM). Otherwise, the written version follows: Why Use a Dividend Discount Model? The main argument in favor of the DDM is that it best represents what happens in real life when you buy a stock.

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Data Update 2 for 2023: A Rocky Year for Equities!

Musings on Markets

The first is the dividends you receive, while you hold stocks, a cash flow stream that provides a measure of stability to investors who seek it. It too requires estimate for inputs, but the range of error is magnitudes smaller than with historical premiums. Actual Returns Your returns on equities come in one of two forms.

Equity 72
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Data Update 2 for 2021: The Price of Risk!

Musings on Markets

If, on the other hand, investors are risk neutral, the price of risk will be zero, and investors will buy risky business, stocks and other investments, and settle for the risk free rate as the expected return. Estimation Approaches Why is it so difficult to estimate an equity risk premium?

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In Search of a Steady State: Inflation, Interest Rates and Value

Musings on Markets

Note that in all three cases, it is not the Fed that is driving rates, but what is happening to inflation. As the inflation bogeyman returns, the worries of what may need to happen to the economy to bring inflation back under control have also mounted.

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Data Update 4 for 2022: Risk = Danger + Opportunity!

Musings on Markets

Relative Risk Measures Before we embark on how to measure relative risk, where there can be substantial disagreement, let me start with a statement on which there should be agreement. By the same token, Embraer and TCS are global firms that happen to be incorporated in Brazil and India, respectively.