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Corporate Finance Jobs: Cozy Careers, But Bad “Plan B” Options

Brian DeChesare

Corporate finance jobs at normal companies are bad … …if you’re using them to break into a deal-based field, such as investment banking , private equity , or venture capital , or as a “Plan B” if you interview around but do not get into one of these. You may have more options in certain groups, such as Treasury.

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The Price of Risk: With Equity Risk Premiums, Caveat Emptor!

Musings on Markets

If you have been reading my posts, you know that I have an obsession with equity risk premiums, which I believe lie at the center of almost every substantive debate in markets and investing. How, you may ask, can equity risk premiums be that divergent, and does that imply that anything goes?

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Data Update 2 for 2023: A Rocky Year for Equities!

Musings on Markets

In this post, I will begin by chronicling the damage done to equities during 2022, before putting the year in historical context, and then examine how developments during the year have affected expectations for the future. Actual Returns Your returns on equities come in one of two forms. Stocks: The What? at the start of that year.

Equity 96
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Reaping the Whirlwind: A September 2022 Inflation Update!

Musings on Markets

In a third post on July 1, 2022 , I pointed to inflation as a key culprit in the retreat of risk capital, i.e., capital invested in the riskiest segments of every market, and presented evidence of the impact on risk premiums (bond default spreads and equity risk premiums) in markets.

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2023 Investment and Market Updates: A Review of the Worst Year Since 1871

Brian DeChesare

Just look at the handy chart the Financial Times put together to see the horrifically bad numbers: In January 2022, everything seemed quite frothy, with mega-deals happening left and right and crypto and equity prices still at high levels. Treasuries: 19% [Up 19%]. Real Estate (Equity Funds + Owned Properties): 15% [Up 5%].

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In Search of a Steady State: Inflation, Interest Rates and Value

Musings on Markets

There are three possible explanations for the divergence: Short term versus Long term : The consumer survey extracts an expectation of inflation in the near term, whereas the treasury markets are providing a longer term perspective, since I am using ten-year rates to derive the market-implied inflation.

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Data Update 2 for 2024: A Stock Comeback - Winning the Expectations Game!

Musings on Markets

Heading into 2023, US equities looked like they were heading into a sea of troubles, with inflation out of control and a recession on the horizon. Breaking equities down by sub-region, and looking across the globe, I computed the change in aggregate market capitalization, by region: While US stocks accounted for about $9.5