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Data Update 2 for 2023: A Rocky Year for Equities!

Musings on Markets

In this post, I will begin by chronicling the damage done to equities during 2022, before putting the year in historical context, and then examine how developments during the year have affected expectations for the future. Actual Returns Your returns on equities come in one of two forms. at the start of that year.

Equity 96
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The Price of Risk: With Equity Risk Premiums, Caveat Emptor!

Musings on Markets

If you have been reading my posts, you know that I have an obsession with equity risk premiums, which I believe lie at the center of almost every substantive debate in markets and investing. How, you may ask, can equity risk premiums be that divergent, and does that imply that anything goes?

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Corporate Finance Jobs: Cozy Careers, But Bad “Plan B” Options

Brian DeChesare

Corporate finance jobs at normal companies are bad … …if you’re using them to break into a deal-based field, such as investment banking , private equity , or venture capital , or as a “Plan B” if you interview around but do not get into one of these. Can we speed up the data consolidation processes? Your total compensation in U.S.-based

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The Dividend Discount Model (DDM): The Black Sheep of Valuation?

Brian DeChesare

When I started offering financial modeling training , I never expected to get questions about a methodology like the Dividend Discount Model (DDM). Otherwise, the written version follows: Why Use a Dividend Discount Model? If you sum up these numbers, you can see whether the company is valued appropriately.

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2023 Investment and Market Updates: A Review of the Worst Year Since 1871

Brian DeChesare

Just look at the handy chart the Financial Times put together to see the horrifically bad numbers: In January 2022, everything seemed quite frothy, with mega-deals happening left and right and crypto and equity prices still at high levels. Treasuries: 19% [Up 19%]. Real Estate (Equity Funds + Owned Properties): 15% [Up 5%].

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A Follow up on Inflation: The Disparate Effects on Company Values!

Musings on Markets

In my last post , I discussed how inflation's return has changed the calculus for investors, looking at how inflation affects returns on different asset classes, and tracing out the consequences for equity values, in the aggregate.

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Deja Vu #11: Can Restricted Stock Studies Be Used to Estimate DLOMs for Dividend-Paying Companies?

Chris Mercer

This eleventh post in the Deja Vu series involving restricted stock studies addresses an issue that is rarely mentioned in the context of the studies – of the impact of dividends on restricted stock discounts (RSDs). This 2008 version had information on 477 restricted stock transactions, up from 430 transactions in the 2004 version.