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Data Update 2 for 2021: The Price of Risk!

Musings on Markets

If, on the other hand, investors are risk neutral, the price of risk will be zero, and investors will buy risky business, stocks and other investments, and settle for the risk free rate as the expected return.

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Can Idemitsu Kosan Generate Enough Cash From Oil to Fund Transition?

Andrew Stolz

Attractive dividend yield could rise to 2x Japanese average. Download the full report as a PDF. Attractive dividend yield could rise to 2x Japanese average. In the past share, the company has increased its dividend per share and is likely to maintain that level. Historically, Japan has a very low risk-free rate.

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Data Update 2 for 2023: A Rocky Year for Equities!

Musings on Markets

The first is the dividends you receive, while you hold stocks, a cash flow stream that provides a measure of stability to investors who seek it. As with the yield to maturity for a bond, I solve for the discount rate (IRR) that makes the present value of cashflows on the index equal to the level of the index. Stocks: The What Next?

Equity 72
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The Price of Risk: With Equity Risk Premiums, Caveat Emptor!

Musings on Markets

In short, the expected return on a risky investment can be constructed as the sum of the returns you can expect on a guaranteed investment, i.e., a riskfree rate, and a risk premium, which will scale up as risk increases. The risk premium that you demand has different names in different markets.

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Tesla's Trillion Dollar Moment: A Valuation Revisit!

Musings on Markets

In this post , I argued that one of the key dividing lines between the two groups was flexibility , with companies with more flexible investing, financing and dividend policies winning out over companies with more rigidity on those dimensions. for mature markets.

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In Search of a Steady State: Inflation, Interest Rates and Value

Musings on Markets

Earnings Estimates : The strength of the economy has been a big contributor to boosting actual and expected earnings on companies in the last two years, and these higher earnings have translated into more cash returned in dividends and buybacks.

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Data Update 4 for 2022: Risk = Danger + Opportunity!

Musings on Markets

At the start of 2022, the ten sectors (US) with the highest and lowest relative risk (unlettered betas), are shown below. In my last two posts, I noted that the prices of risk have drifted down in markets, with both equity risk premiums and default spreads decreasing through 2021.