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The DDM is more grounded because it’s based on the company’s actual distributions and potential future value. And it values the company today based on the present value of its dividends and that potential future value (either the stock price or the Equity Value via the TerminalValue calculation).
Well, the short answer is after that forecast period where we estimate each year’s cash flows then discount them, we add a single number at the end to account for all the theoretical years in the future, called the TerminalValue (TV). Explaining The TerminalValue. How do I calculate the TerminalValue?”
Analysts use financial metrics and multiples such as Price to Earnings (P/E), Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA), and Price to Book (P/B) ratios and apply them to the target company’s financials. The terminalvalue can be estimated using the perpetuity growth model or the exit multiple approach.
Essentially, the NAV Model is a super-long-term DCF without a TerminalValue. The TerminalValue doesn’t make sense in this vertical because oil and gas resources are finite; you can’t assume that a company will keep producing “forever.”.
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