Musings on Markets

JULY 17, 2023

At the start of the year, the consensus of market experts was that this would be a difficult year for markets, given the macro worries about inflation and an impending recession, and adding in the fear of the Fed raising rates to this mix made bullishness a rare commodity on Wall Street.

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Marketability Risk Premium Start-ups Treasury 98

Musings on Markets

FEBRUARY 15, 2023

As I have argued in all four of my posts, so far, about 2022, it was year when we saw a return to normalcy on many fronts, as treasury rates reverted back to pre-2008 levels, and risk capital discovered that risk has a downside.

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Start-ups Equity Risk Premium Risk-free Rate 52

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 9, 2021

The second was that, starting mid-year in 2020, equity markets and the real economy moved in different directions, with the former rising on the expectations a post-virus future, and the latter languishing, as most of the world continued to operate with significant constraints.

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Risk Premium Market Capitalization Equity Start-ups 52

Musings on Markets

FEBRUARY 18, 2025

I pointed to the flaw in the logic, but the comments thereafter suggested such deep confusion about what returns on equity or capital measure, and what comprises an efficient market, that I think it does make sense to go back to basics and see if some of the confusion can be cleared up.

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Equity Book Value Marketability Start-ups 52

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 10, 2025

It is the end of the first full week in 2025, and my data update for the year is now up and running, and I plan to use this post to describe my data sample, my processes for computing industry statistics and the links to finding them. Standard Deviation in Equity/Firm Value 2. Book Value Multiples 3. Profit Margins 1.

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Risk Premium Dividends Start-ups Corporate Finance 120

Musings on Markets

FEBRUARY 6, 2025

The results, broken down broadly by geography are in the table below: As you can see, the aggregate market cap globally was up 12.17%, but much of that was the result of a strong US equity market. I am no expert on exchange rates, but learning to deal with different currencies in valuation is a prerequisite to valuing companies.

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Risk Premium Start-ups Enterprise Value Equity 68