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I am just not good at it, and the first six months of 2023 illustrate why market timing is often the impossible dream, something that every investor aspires to be successful at, but very few succeed on a consistent basis. Markets, as is their wont, live to surprise, and the first six months of 2023 has wrong-footed the experts (again).
A few days ago, I valued Instacart ahead of its initial public offering , and noted that the reception that the stock gets will be a good barometer of where risk capital stands in the market, right now. To understand why, consider how fixed assets (such as plant and equipment and equipment) become part of the balance sheet.
In this post, I will look at corporate profitability, in all its different dimensions, and how companies across the globe, and across industries, measured up in the most recent years. To make comparisons, profits are scaled to common metrics, with revenues and bookvalue of investment being the most common scalar.
In this post, I will begin by looking at how to value banks and follow up with an examination of investor views of banking have changed, by looking at pricing, before examining divergences in how banks are priced in the market today.
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This 2008 version had information on 477 restricted stock transactions, up from 430 transactions in the 2004 version. There were 231 transactions after April 1997, when the SEC’s period of restriction was reduced from two years to one year (up from 182 transactions in the 2004 version). Conclusion.
That may reflect the concern that once a person or entity starts borrowing to fund its needs, it is easy to overuse debt, and risk its wellbeing in the process. In that case, the optimal debt ratio for a company is the one that maximizes value, not necessarily the one at which the cost of capital is minimized.
In my last post, I talked about the ritual that I go through every year ahead of my teaching each spring, and in this one, I will start on the first of a series of posts that I make at the start of each year, where I look at data, both macro and company-level. That is not true!
The second was that, starting mid-year in 2020, equity markets and the real economy moved in different directions, with the former rising on the expectations a post-virus future, and the latter languishing, as most of the world continued to operate with significant constraints.
Since I am lucky enough to have access to databases that carry data on all publicly traded stocks, I choose all publicly traded companies, with a market price that exceeds zero, as my universe, for computing all statistics. Consequently, I do report industry averages for the two fastest growing emerging markets in India and China.
The Lead In As noted in the introductory paragraph, I start from a position of ignorance about the Adani Group, and it thus made sense to fill in that gap. First, they are infrastructure businesses , requiring large up-front investments and having long gestation periods, with regulatory and government oversight.
It is the end of the first full week in 2025, and my data update for the year is now up and running, and I plan to use this post to describe my data sample, my processes for computing industry statistics and the links to finding them. In the table below, we compare the changes in regional marketcapitalizations (in $ millions) over time.
I follow up by looking at companies broken down by marketcapitalization, with an eye on whether the much-vaunted small cap premium has made a comeback. In the process, I also look how much the market owes its winnings to its biggest companies, with the Mag Seven coming under the microscope. in the last 20 years.
It is for this reason that I chose to compute returns differently, using the following constructs: I included all publicly traded stocks in each market, or at least those with a marketcapitalization available for them. I converted all of the marketcapitalizations into US dollars , just to make them comparable.
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