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Note that nothing that I have said so far is premised on modern portfolio theory, or any academic view of riskpremiums. It is true that economists have researched risk aversion for centuries and concluded that investors are collectively risk averse, and that the level of risk aversion varies across age groups, income levels and time.
Inflation: The Full Story I wrote my first post on this blog in 2008, and inflation merited barely a mention until 2020, though it is an integral component of investing and valuation. As the inflation bogeyman returns, the worries of what may need to happen to the economy to bring inflation back under control have also mounted.
My current series of blog posts is titled “Mercer’s Musings.” This is the “base value” that has been addressed in a number of posts on this blog. Interest-level benefits may be affected by such factors as: (1) The history of dividends or distributions, including both timing and amounts. (2)
We note that the higher the expected rate (in other words, the greater the risk is perceived as necessary, to the point of requiring a substantial "riskpremium"), the lower the multiple that will apply and therefore the lower valuation: we buy cheaper which is less safe. We would love to hear your notes regarding our blog post.
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