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Country Risk: Equity Risk For equity investors, the price of risk is captured by the equity riskpremium, and equity riskpremiums will vary across countries. Please do not attach any political significance to my country groupings, or take them personally.
Rf = Risk-free Rate. B = Beta. (Rm Rm – Rf) = Equity Market RiskPremium. Cp = Cost of Equity Premium. DCF WACC—similar to the above except that it calculates a different WACC in each forecast period based on a changing capital structure (D/E) and thus a changing beta in each period. Cost of Debt.
In the first five posts, I have looked at the macro numbers that drive global markets, from interest rates to riskpremiums, but it is not my preferred habitat. The second set of inputs are prices of risk, in both the equity and debt markets, with the former measured by equity riskpremiums , and the latter by default spreads.
Thus, as you peruse my historical data on implied equity riskpremiums or PE ratios for the S&P 500 over time, you may be tempted to compute averages and use them in your investment strategies, or use my industry averages for debt ratios and pricing multiples as the target for every company in the peer group, but you should hold back.
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