Andrew Stolz

AUGUST 6, 2020

The expected return on an asset is determined by the risk-free rate of return with the addition of the asset’s beta to each macroeconomic factor that impacts the return on the asset multiplied by the risk premium of those factors. Inflation rate: ß = 0.6, The risk-free rate is 5%.

Risk-free Rate 52

Risk-free Rate Risk Premium Beta Marketability 52

Musings on Markets

FEBRUARY 8, 2022

The disagreements rise in how to measure this relative risk, and risk and return models in finance have tried, with varying degrees of success, to come up with this measure. I believe that a company's regression beta is an extremely noisy measure of its risk, and mistrust the betas reported on estimation services for that reason.

Risk Premium 69

Risk Premium Beta Start-ups Equity 69

Andrew Stolz

MARCH 20, 2020

The formula implies the return an investor expects from a risk-free investment plus the return from the stock in relation to market volatility. The market risk premium is calculated from a market rate of return less a risk-free rate. Therefore, the risks of the firm are eventually increased.

Beta 52

Beta Capital Structure Risk-free Rate Weighted Average Cost of Capital 52

Brian DeChesare

AUGUST 31, 2022

The risk-free rate is higher – because investors benefit from “delaying” their eventual purchase of the underlying shares when they earn higher interest elsewhere. The risk-free rate and time to maturity also affect the Liability component (and other factors, such as the company’s credit quality, play a role).

Banking 89

Banking Risk-free Rate Equity Start-ups 89

Brian DeChesare

MAY 3, 2023

Dividend Discount Model, Part 4: Present Value of Terminal Value and Dividends Since the Dividend Discount Model is based on Equity Value, not Enterprise Value, the Discount Rate is the Cost of Equity: Risk-Free Rate + Equity Risk Premium * Levered Beta.

Dividends 64

Dividends Terminal Value Enterprise Value Equity 64

Valutico

OCTOBER 20, 2022

Rf = Risk-free Rate. B = Beta. (Rm Rm – Rf) = Equity Market Risk Premium. DCF WACC—similar to the above except that it calculates a different WACC in each forecast period based on a changing capital structure (D/E) and thus a changing beta in each period. Risk free rate (can use 10y Treasury).

Discounted Cash Flow 52

Discounted Cash Flow Terminal Value Weighted Average Cost of Capital Net Present Value 52

Musings on Markets

JULY 13, 2022

Country Risk: Currency and Cost of Capital As a final part to this post, to see the shifts in country risk that we have seen in 2022, let’s start with an assessment of risk free rates.

Risk Premium 83

Risk Premium Risk-free Rate Start-ups Equity 83

Musings on Markets

FEBRUARY 10, 2021

I know that many of you are not fans of modern portfolio theory or betas, but ultimately, there is no way around the requirement that you need to measure how risky a business, relative to other businesses. (More on that issue in a future data update post.) Cost of equity in US $ for German project = 1% + 1.1

Risk-free Rate 52

Risk-free Rate Risk Premium Start-ups Equity 52

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 12, 2021

Thus, you and I can disagree about whether beta is a good measure of risk, but not on the principle that no matter what definition of risk you ultimately choose, riskier investments need higher hurdles than safer investments.

Corporate Finance 52

Corporate Finance Start-ups Finance Marketability 52

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 31, 2024

In my last three posts, I looked at the macro (equity risk premiums, default spreads, risk free rates) and micro (company risk measures) that feed into the expected returns we demand on investments, and argued that these expected returns become hurdle rates for businesses, in the form of costs of equity and capital.

Equity 78

Equity Book Value Start-ups Corporate Finance 78

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 5, 2024

Employee Count & Compensation I nvesting Principle Financing Principle Dividend Principle Hurdle Rate Project Returns Financing Mix Financing Type Cash Return Dividends/Buyback s 1. Beta & Risk 1. Equity Risk Premiums 2. Return on Equity 1. Debt Ratios & Fundamentals 1. Debt Details 1. Buybacks 2.

Dividends 100

Dividends Risk Premium Equity Book Value 100

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 28, 2024

In short, if you don't like betas and have disdain for modern portfolio theory, your choice should not be to abandon risk measurement all together, but to come up with an alternative risk measure that is more in sync with your view of the world.

Risk Premium 95

Risk Premium Beta Start-ups Equity 95