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In general, higher and more volatile inflation has negative effects on all financial assets, from stocks to corporate bonds to treasury bonds, and neutral to positive effects on gold, collectibles and real assets. The former is short hand for the small cap premium and the latter is the proxy for the value factor in returns.
Not surprisingly, the company listings are across the world, and I look at the breakdown of companies, by number and market cap, by geography: As you can see, the market cap of US companies at the start of 2025 accounted for roughly 49% of the market cap of global stocks, up from 44% at the start of 2024 and 42% at the start of 2023.
The first is, of course, the riskfree rate , a number that varies across time (as you saw in post on US treasury rates in data update 4 ) and across currencies (in my post on currencies in data update 5). I am not a purist on this measure, and while I use betas in my computations, I am open to using alternate measures of relative equity risk.
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