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Step 4: Discount the Dividends and Terminal Value to Present Value and Add Them This is like the final step of a DCF, but you use the Cost of Equity since the Dividend Discount Model is based on Equity Value, not EnterpriseValue. DTM’s Levered Beta at this time was only 0.80, but I increased it to 1.00
When valuing or analyzing a company, I find myself looking for and using macro data (riskpremiums, default spreads, tax rates) and industry-level data on profitability, risk and leverage. I do report on a few market-wide data items especially on riskpremiums for both equity and debt. Cost of Equity 1.
Rf = Risk-free Rate. B = Beta. (Rm Rm – Rf) = Equity Market RiskPremium. Cp = Cost of Equity Premium. Discount the Terminal Value. . Add up all the figures you have to arrive at the Net Present Value. DCF is widely used in valuing companies, and it is used widely in valuing stocks as well.
An Optimizing Tool In my second and third data posts for this year, I chronicled the effects of rising interest rates and riskpremiums on costs of equity and capital. In computing the latter, I used the current debt ratios for firms, but made no attempt to evaluate whether these mixes were "right" or not.
Raising or lowering the cost of capital has an effect on value, but changing my assumptions about riskpremiums, betas or debt ratios has a much smaller effect that changing assumptions that alter cash flows.
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