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Data Update 4 for 2022: Risk = Danger + Opportunity!

Musings on Markets

The disagreements rise in how to measure this relative risk, and risk and return models in finance have tried, with varying degrees of success, to come up with this measure. I believe that a company's regression beta is an extremely noisy measure of its risk, and mistrust the betas reported on estimation services for that reason.

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Data Update 4 for 2021: The Hurdle Rate Question!

Musings on Markets

I know that many of you are not fans of modern portfolio theory or betas, but ultimately, there is no way around the requirement that you need to measure how risky a business, relative to other businesses. Download country ERPs What does this mean? (More on that issue in a future data update post.)

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Data Update 1 for 2024: The data speaks, but what does it say?

Musings on Markets

Employee Count & Compensation I nvesting Principle Financing Principle Dividend Principle Hurdle Rate Project Returns Financing Mix Financing Type Cash Return Dividends/Buyback s 1. Beta & Risk 1. Equity Risk Premiums 2. Return on Equity 1. Debt Ratios & Fundamentals 1. Debt Details 1. Buybacks 2. Be patient.

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Marking Time: A new year, a fresh semester and its class time!

Musings on Markets

Last week, was my data week, where I download and analyze data on all publicly traded companies, listed anywhere in the world, and I will post extensively on what the numbers look like after a most tumultuous year. Investors need to reassess their expected returns to reflect risk free rates & current ERP & default spreads.

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Data Update 4 for 2024: Danger and Opportunity - Bringing Risk into the Equation!

Musings on Markets

In short, if you don't like betas and have disdain for modern portfolio theory, your choice should not be to abandon risk measurement all together, but to come up with an alternative risk measure that is more in sync with your view of the world.