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In maturity, with debt entering the financing mix, net margins become good measures of profitability, and in decline, as earnings decline and capital expenditures ease, EBITDA margins dominate.
The company still pays interest on the full $1000 and must repay it upon maturity, but you can buy the issuance at a steep discount because there’s a significant chance of default (see: bookvalue vs. market value vs. face value ). A sharply declining stock price does not necessarily mean a company is “distressed.”
Cash generating capacity : Debt payments are serviced with operating cash flows, and the more operating cash flows that firms generate, as a percent of their market value, the more that they can afford to borrow. Debt to EBITDA, Interest Coverage Ratios If debt to capital is not a good measure for judging over or under leverage, what is?
By the same token, it is impossible to use a pricing metric (PE or EV to EBITDA), without a sense of the cross sectional distribution of that metric at the time. For example, I have seen it asserted that a stock that trades at less than bookvalue is cheap or that a stock that trades at more than twenty times EBITDA is expensive.
Beta & Risk 1. Standard Deviation in Equity/Firm Value 2. BookValue Multiples 3. EBIT & EBITDA multiple s 5. Since I update the data only once a year, it will age as we go through 2025, but that aging will be most felt, if you use my pricing multiples (PE, PBV, EV to EBITDA etc.) Return on Equity 1.
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