Musings on Markets

JANUARY 21, 2023

The premium that investors demand over and above the risk free rate is the equity risk premium , and practitioners in finance have wrestled with how best to estimate that number, since it is not easily observable (unlike the expected return on a bond which manifests as a current market interest rate).

Equity 96

Equity Risk Premium Start-ups Dividends 96

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 5, 2024

Employee Count & Compensation I nvesting Principle Financing Principle Dividend Principle Hurdle Rate Project Returns Financing Mix Financing Type Cash Return Dividends/Buyback s 1. Beta & Risk 1. Equity Risk Premiums 2. Ratings & Spreads 2. Tax rates 4. Return on Equity 1. Debt Details 1.

Dividends 105

Dividends Risk Premium Equity Book Value 105

Musings on Markets

OCTOBER 4, 2023

Price of Risk The drop in stock and bond prices in the third quarter of 2023 can partly be attributed to rising interest rates, but how much of that drop is due to the price of risk changing? My assessment is a bit of a cop-out, since they are built on current interest rate levels and consensus earnings estimates.

Marketability 121

Marketability Start-ups Risk Premium Treasury 121

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 24, 2024

As we start 2024, the interest rate prognosticators who misread the bond markets so badly in 2023 are back to making their 2024 forecasts, and they show no evidence of having learned any lessons from the last year.

Treasury 52

Treasury Risk Premium Start-ups Risk-free Rate 52

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 31, 2024

In my last three posts, I looked at the macro (equity risk premiums, default spreads, risk free rates) and micro (company risk measures) that feed into the expected returns we demand on investments, and argued that these expected returns become hurdle rates for businesses, in the form of costs of equity and capital.

Equity 80

Equity Book Value Start-ups Corporate Finance 80

Valutico

DECEMBER 12, 2023

See below for the latest set of upgrades and watch this space in early 2024 for more to come soon. New Professional Report Style: What? Stay tuned for more exciting and significant updates coming in early 2024. We’ve completely modernized the report style, ensuring a more user-friendly experience. Why Important?

Risk-free Rate 52

Risk-free Rate Risk Premium Market Risk Marketability 52

Musings on Markets

FEBRUARY 2, 2023

The first of the is as companies scale up, there will be a point where they will hit a growth wall, and their growth will converge on the growth rate for the economy. Lowering revenue growth to 15% in 2023 and raising it to 33% in 2024 will deliver almost the same value for the company, as what I get with my smoothed-out values.

Start-ups 99

Start-ups Risk-free Rate Market Capitalization Risk Premium 99