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See below for the latest set of upgrades and watch this space in early 2024 for more to come soon. New Professional Report Style: What? Stay tuned for more exciting and significant updates coming in early 2024. We’ve completely modernized the report style, ensuring a more user-friendly experience. Why Important?
In short, if you don't like betas and have disdain for modern portfolio theory, your choice should not be to abandon risk measurement all together, but to come up with an alternative risk measure that is more in sync with your view of the world.
In the first five posts, I have looked at the macro numbers that drive global markets, from interest rates to riskpremiums, but it is not my preferred habitat. The second set of inputs are prices of risk, in both the equity and debt markets, with the former measured by equity riskpremiums , and the latter by default spreads.
Public market valuations, for instance, often influence private market expectations, especially since public markets represent a key exit route for VC investments. [49] Discount Rates / RiskPremiums: The discount rate used in DCF analysis (often the WACC) incorporates elements sensitive to market conditions. [21]
10] , [23] , [2] Discount Rate: The rate used to discount future cash flows is typically the cost of equity, calculated via the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM): Cost of Equity = Risk-Free Rate + Beta * MarketRiskPremium. [23] 23] Risk-Free Rate: Tied to government bond yields (e.g.,
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