2023 Market Capitalization Risk Premium 
Musings on Markets
JANUARY 21, 2023
No matter how you slice it, there is no denying that 2022 was the worst year for US equity investors since 2008, and the magnitude of the damage is even more staggering, if you consider it in market value terms. trillion in market capitalization, but for balance, it is also worth noting that US equities are still holding on to a gain of $6.9
Musings on Markets
JULY 17, 2023
I am not a market prognosticator for a simple reason. I am just not good at it, and the first six months of 2023 illustrate why market timing is often the impossible dream, something that every investor aspires to be successful at, but very few succeed on a consistent basis.
This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.
Musings on Markets
JANUARY 17, 2024
Heading into 2023, US equities looked like they were heading into a sea of troubles, with inflation out of control and a recession on the horizon. In that post, I noted that if inflation subsided quickly, and the economy stayed out of a recession, stocks had upside, and that is the scenario that played out in 2023.
Musings on Markets
JANUARY 6, 2023
When valuing or analyzing a company, I find myself looking for and using macro data (risk premiums, default spreads, tax rates) and industry-level data on profitability, risk and leverage. Data universe : In my sample, I include all publicly traded firms with market capitalizations that exceed zero, traded anywhere in the world.
Musings on Markets
JANUARY 5, 2024
Since I am lucky enough to have access to databases that carry data on all publicly traded stocks, I choose all publicly traded companies, with a market price that exceeds zero, as my universe, for computing all statistics. Beta & Risk 1. Equity Risk Premiums 2. Return on (invested) capital 2. Debt Details 1.
Musings on Markets
FEBRUARY 2, 2023
Finally, my starting cost of capital of 10.15% reflects the reality that the riskfree rate and equity risk premiums have risen over 2022, and my ending number of 9% is an indication that I expect Tesla to become less risky over time. and 10.9%. It was the reason that I argued at a $1.2
Musings on Markets
JANUARY 19, 2022
I do believe that too much is often made of these differences, as it is generally more the rule than the exception that markets, when they are up strongly, get the bulk of that rise from a small sub-set of stocks or sectors.
Expert insights. Personalized for you.
96 
Let's personalize your content