Musings on Markets

JANUARY 19, 2022

Leading into 2021, the big questions facing investors were about how quickly economies would recover from COVID, with the assumption that the virus would fade during the year, and the pressures that the resulting growth would put on inflation.

Risk Premium 98

Risk Premium Risk-free Rate Start-ups Equity 98

Musings on Markets

MAY 7, 2023

Consequently, you can only value the equity in a bank, and by extension, the only pricing multiples you can use to price banks are equity multiples (PE, Price to Book etc.). Note the differences between the bank FCFE and bank dividend discount models.

Banking 82

Banking Price to Book Dividends Book Value 82

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 9, 2021

I spent the first week of 2021 in the same way that I have spent the first week of every year since 1995, collecting data on publicly traded companies and analyzing how they navigated the cross currents of the prior year, both in operating and market value terms.

Risk Premium 52

Risk Premium Market Capitalization Equity Start-ups 52

Musings on Markets

JULY 17, 2023

It is true that economic activity has leveled off and housing prices have declined a little, relative to a year ago, but given the rise in rates in 2022, those changes are mild. If anything, the economy seems to have settled into a stable pattern, albeit at the high levels that it reached in the second half of 2021.

Marketability 98

Marketability Risk Premium Start-ups Treasury 98

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 6, 2023

At the company-level, I provide data on risk, profitability, leverage and dividends, broken down by industry-groups, to be used in both corporate finance and valuation. Standard deviation in stock price 2. Price to Book 3. High-Low Price Risk Measure 5. EV/Sales and Price/Sales 5. Cost of Equity 1.

Risk Premium 52

Risk Premium Dividends Start-ups EBITDA 52

Musings on Markets

FEBRUARY 4, 2023

The company's return on invested capital has steadily declined, even as it has scaled up, hovering just over 3% in 2021-2022. You see similar movements in the price to book, where the stock has gone from trading under book value to 6.7 times revenues in the most recent two years.

Start-ups 100

Start-ups Market Capitalization Marketability Equity 100