Remove 2020 Remove Risk Premium Remove Risk-free Rate
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Data Update 2 for 2021: The Price of Risk!

Musings on Markets

If, on the other hand, investors are risk neutral, the price of risk will be zero, and investors will buy risky business, stocks and other investments, and settle for the risk free rate as the expected return.

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Data Update 2 for 2023: A Rocky Year for Equities!

Musings on Markets

It is the nature of stocks that you have good years and bad ones, and much as we like to forget about the latter during market booms, they recur at regular intervals, if for no other reason than to remind us that risk is not an abstraction, and that stocks don't always win, even in the long term.

Equity 72
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Data Update 3: Inflation and its Ripple Effects!

Musings on Markets

Put simply, no central bank, no matter how powerful, can force market interest rates down, if inflation expectations stay low, or up, if investor are anticipating high inflation. Note that the decrease in default spreads, at least for the lower ratings, mirrors the drop in the implied equity risk premium during the course of 2021.

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Use of Discounted Cash Flow Approaches in US GAAP Accounting

ThomsonReuters

The Codification often provides guidance on how to select a discount rate for a particular area of accounting. The Codification may require the use of a risk-free rate in some places and a risk-adjusted rate in others. The risk premium may incorporate factors such as credit risk or market illiquidity.

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In Search of a Steady State: Inflation, Interest Rates and Value

Musings on Markets

Inflation: The Full Story I wrote my first post on this blog in 2008, and inflation merited barely a mention until 2020, though it is an integral component of investing and valuation. In fact, the average inflation rate in the 2011-20 decade was the lowest of the seven decades that I cover in this chart.

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Data Update 3 for 2023: Inflation and Interest Rates

Musings on Markets

The rise in rates transmitted to corporate bond market rates, with a concurrent rise in default spreads exacerbating the damage to investors. Thus, at least in the corporate bond market, the default spread(s) become the market price of risk or risk premium for debt markets.

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Tesla's Trillion Dollar Moment: A Valuation Revisit!

Musings on Markets

My two most recent valuations were in June 2019 and January 2020, and I am going to go back to them, not just because they are recent, but because they led to investment decisions on my part. Between June 2019 and January 2020, the stock went on a tear, as the stock price more than tripled, and I revisited my Tesla valuation.