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A Follow up on Inflation: The Disparate Effects on Company Values!

Musings on Markets

Historical Data: 1930-2019 To see how this framework works in practice, let's start by looking at the performance of US stocks, across the decades, and look at the returns on stocks, broadly categorized based on market capitalization and price to book ratios.

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The Power of Expectations: Nvidia's Earnings and the Market Reaction!

Musings on Markets

That drop of more than $200 billion in market capitalization in response to what looked like good news, at least on the surface, puzzled market observers, though, as is their wont, they had found a reason by day end. on June 18, 2024, and a low of $92.06, on August 5, before ending at $125.61

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Data Update 2 for 2022: US Stocks kept winning in 2021, but…

Musings on Markets

In a post at the start of 2021 , I argued that while stocks entered the year at elevated levels, especially on historic metrics (such as PE ratios), they were priced to deliver reasonable returns, relative to very low risk free rates (with the treasury bond rate at 0.93% at the start of 2021). The year that was.

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Data Update 1 for 2022: It is Moneyball Time!

Musings on Markets

To start the year, I returned to a ritual that I have practiced for thirty years, and that is to take a look at not just market changes over the last year, but also to get measures of the financial standing and practices of companies around the world. Happy New Year, and I hope that 2022 brings you good tidings!

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Tesla's Trillion Dollar Moment: A Valuation Revisit!

Musings on Markets

I would be lying if I said that I have had clarity about Tesla's story over the last decade, because it has so many tangents, distractions and shifts along the way, flirting with narratives about being a battery company, an energy company and a technology company. If you are interested, you can see my valuations from 2014 , 2016 and 2017.

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World’s Best Banks 2024—Asia-Pacific

Global Finance

Against this inauspicious backdrop, China Construction Bank (CCB) impressed judges with an array of initiatives demonstrating innovative technological thinking and a keen eye on ESG alignment, regional development and inclusivity. Meanwhile, HSBC had a banner year in Hong Kong, raking in $24.6 billion after-tax profit versus $8.3

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META Lesson 3: Tell me a story!

Musings on Markets

In my first two posts on Facebook, I noted that its most recent earnings report, and the market reaction to it, offers an opportunity for us to talk about bigger issues. Why stories matter in a numbers world If you are a numbers valuation, you start with some advantages.